Economic and social impact of artificial intelligence on global productivity and employment until 2030

Economic impact of artificial intelligence

Artificial intelligence is profoundly transforming the global economy, with much greater growth potential than previous technological revolutions. Its contribution to productivity and economic value is key.

Experts estimate that AI could increase global productivity by between $2.6 and $4.4 trillion annually by 2025. This growth will change the way companies generate value and compete in the market.

Furthermore, AI not only improves existing processes but also drives the creation of new business models, opening unprecedented sectors and market opportunities for various industries.

Increased productivity and value generated

AI optimizes and automates production processes, allowing faster and more effective decision making. This translates into a substantial increase in business efficiency at a global level.

According to PwC, mass adoption of AI could increase global GDP by up to an additional 14% by 2030, equivalent to $15.7 trillion generated by increased productivity.

This increase in productivity positively impacts international competitiveness and facilitates continuous innovation in traditional and emerging sectors.

Creation of new business models and benefited sectors

Generative AI drives new personalized services and business models, revolutionizing industries such as healthcare, manufacturing, commerce and finance with innovative solutions.

This phenomenon generates new business opportunities, allowing the offer of products more adapted to the specific needs of consumers.

In addition, it facilitates the emergence of startups and new economic actors that take advantage of AI to redefine markets and create differentiated value.

Work and social challenges derived from AI

The mass adoption of artificial intelligence presents significant social and labor challenges. Automation can displace routine tasks, modifying the structure of global employment.

Additionally, technological transformation requires new skills, which generates a growing demand for training and professional reconversion programs. These challenges must be addressed with effective policies.

Environmental concerns also arise related to the high energy demand for AI technologies, which require sustainable solutions to minimize their impact on the planet.

Automation and transformation of employment

AI can automate up to 45% of job tasks, especially repetitive functions. This implies a profound transformation in the labor market and the required skills.

In advanced economies, 60% of jobs are at risk of change, forcing companies and governments to adapt their labor strategies to avoid massive job losses.

To mitigate these effects, an integration of AI is promoted that complements and enhances human work, guiding workers to strategic and creative roles.

Need for training and new professions

The growth of AI generates a high demand for professionals specialized in technology and data analysis, in addition to new profiles in sectors linked to the development and maintenance of AI.

Training today's workforce is essential to facilitate the transition to AI complementary jobs and avoid deep social gaps, promoting inclusion and sustainable development.

Continuing education and reskilling programs are presented as key tools to prepare people for the demands of the future AI-powered labor market.

Energy pressures and environmental impact

The intensive use of AI requires large amounts of energy, increasing pressure on natural resources and contributing to the environmental footprint of the technology sector.

It is crucial to promote policies and technologies that drive energy efficiency and the adoption of renewable energy to minimize the negative impact associated with the growth of AI.

Environmental sustainability becomes an essential component for the proliferation of AI to be compatible with global objectives of reducing emissions and caring for the environment.

Geopolitical implications and international competition

Artificial intelligence has emerged as a critical factor in international relations, redefining power and economic influence between Nation States. Technological advancement not only has economic repercussions, but also strategic and global security ones.

The competition for leadership in AI becomes an element of rivalry between powers, which seek to secure their economic and military positions through the accelerated adoption and development of these technologies.

This context entails a transformation of existing alliances and tensions, affecting global economic stability and balance in the medium and long term.

Leadership and strategies of the United States and China

The United States maintains a prominent position thanks to large investments in innovation and AI development, supported by major technology companies and research centers. Its strategy combines scientific advances with commercial and military applications.

China, for its part, stands out for its rapid adoption and practical application of AI in multiple sectors, promoting a strong digital economy and an AI-based surveillance system. Its government approach is strongly oriented towards implementing AI for national development and social control.

Both powers compete in artificial intelligence to consolidate their global influence, employing comprehensive policies that include state financing, strategic regulation and public-private cooperation.

Alteration of economic balance and global security

Mastery in AI can translate into significant competitive advantages for economies and militaries, changing the balance of global power and creating new vulnerabilities in cybersecurity and defense.

Furthermore, technological concentration can generate economic inequalities between countries and contribute to an increase in geopolitical tensions, given that the digital revolution alters traditional trade and security paradigms.

The need to establish international regulatory frameworks and collaborate on technological ethics is vital to avoid conflicts derived from improper or weapons uses of artificial intelligence.

Outlook and future development of the AI industry

The artificial intelligence sector projects accelerated growth in investments, transforming business models and generating new market opportunities globally.

Companies are embracing AI to optimize operations, increase competitiveness and break ground, driving mergers, acquisitions and constant technological expansion.

This evolution promises to change not only the economy, but also the way organizations manage resources and develop products adapted to current demands.

Growth in investments and business transformations

Investments in AI have increased markedly, with capital flowing into startups and corporations leading technological innovation on a global scale.

This trend promotes the integration of AI into key processes, generating more efficient business models adapted to dynamic and competitive markets.

Furthermore, business transformation with AI encourages intelligent automation and personalization of services, driving the digital economy and its constant evolution.

Estimated impact on specific economies, such as Spain

In Spain, AI is expected to contribute more than 16.5 billion euros to GDP by 2025, evidencing its importance in national economic development.

This implies a significant boost for sectors such as industry, services and technology, which adopt AI to improve productivity and international competitiveness.

The advancement of AI in Spain will also stimulate innovation and the creation of specialized employment, consolidating the country in the global digital economy.